Incarnate Word
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 90.2218Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 212 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 9- 7 213 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 5- 4 214 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 2-20 214 A Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 7- 8 215 H Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 221 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 2- 3 222 H Boston University PAT ( 7-10, 94.0) 1-20 228 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 6- 7 301 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 0- 8 301 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 0- 8 304 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 4- 7 331 A Baylor B12 (32-26, 94.2) 9-11 430 A Northwestern State SL ( 3-11, 90.0) 5- 4 501 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 9- 0 502 A SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 4- 6
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
212 H BYU 9- 7 2 0 + 2.46
213 H Penn State 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 5.00
214 H Michigan 2-20 -18 -4 --- -10.21
214 A Pittsburgh 7- 8 -1 -1 0.23
221 A FIU 2- 3 -1 -3 + 2.16
222 H Boston University 1-20 -19 -3 --- -10.97
228 H Houston 6- 7 -1 0 -0.85
301 A Texas 0- 8 -8 -9 1.48
301 A Texas 0- 8 -8 -9 1.48
304 H Houston 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.85
331 A Baylor 9-11 -2 -5 + 2.75
430 A Northwestern State 5- 4 1 -1 1.55
501 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 9- 0 9 3 ++ 5.59
502 A SE Louisiana 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Michigan 2-20 -18 -4 --- -10.21 222 H Boston University 1-20 -19 -3 --- -10.97 304 H Houston 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.85 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Penn State 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 5.00 501 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 9- 0 9 3 ++ 5.59 212 H BYU 9- 7 2 0 + 2.46 221 A FIU 2- 3 -1 -3 + 2.16 331 A Baylor 9-11 -2 -5 + 2.75 502 A SE Louisiana 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.19 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H BYU (19-29, 91.4) 9- 7 -8.48 10.89 -0.74 1.80 36.55
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 5- 4 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 1.80 49.29
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 2-20 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 1.80 -5.30
3 A Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 7- 8 -9.19 10.18 0.74 1.80 -7.60
3 A FIU (32-18, 92.6) 2- 3 -7.26 12.11 0.74 1.80 -5.87
3 H Boston Univers ( 7-10, 94.0) 1-20 -5.90 13.47 -0.74 1.80 -5.98
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 6- 7 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 1.80 -8.58
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 0- 8 -0.94 18.43 0.74 1.80 -0.18
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 0- 8 -0.94 18.43 0.74 1.80 -0.18
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 4- 7 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 1.80 -8.58
3 A Baylor (32-26, 94.2) 9-11 -5.67 13.70 0.74 1.80 -4.44
3 A Northwestern S ( 3-11, 90.0) 5- 4 -9.87 9.50 0.74 1.80 36.87
3 H Texas A&M-Corp ( 2-18, 87.6) 9- 0 -12.34 7.03 -0.74 1.80 22.64
3 A SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 4- 6 -6.23 13.14 0.74 1.80 -4.94
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93.69
|
winning pts = 145.3474 losing points = -51.6537
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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